Detroit Lions Keys to Victory vs. New Orleans Saints – Week 13

Today, the Detroit Lions (8-3) are set to face the New Orleans Saints (5-6) in a pivotal NFC showdown at the Caesars Superdome. Following a disheartening 29-22 loss to the Green Bay Packers, the Lions are under scrutiny. The team, having played three games in 12 days, seemed fatigued and vulnerable. Although they managed a comeback win against the Bears, the performance left fans uneasy.

The Lions must showcase their grit and put forth a complete football game to leave New Orleans victorious and regain their status as a true contender at the top of the NFC.

Lions Offense vs. Saints Defense

The Lions’ offensive line and dynamic run game are set to exploit the Saints’ shortcomings on the interior of the defensive line. The Saints, featuring skilled edge rushers like Cameron Jordan and Carl Granderson, have been less effective against the run, displaying issues with run fits and gap control. This mismatch could play into Detroit’s hands, especially with the return of key left guard Jonah Jackson, bolstering their already potent ground attack.

However, the Saints’ defense isn’t without its threats. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks with Jordan and Granderson could pose problems for Detroit’s Jared Goff, who has recently struggled with turnovers under duress. The Lions will need to avoid third-and-long situations, focusing on gaining ground in early downs. This approach will require Goff to make quick, decisive throws, particularly targeting receivers like Amon-Ra St. Brown and TE Sam LaPorta. The absence of Saints LB Pete Warner potentially opens the middle field more for Detroit’s passing game.

Despite a favorable matchup in the trenches for Detroit, the Saints’ secondary remains a formidable unit. Led by veteran Tyrann Mathieu and budding star cornerback Paulson Adebo, their skill in takeaways poses a challenge for the Lions’ aerial attack. Adebo’s lockdown capabilities and Mathieu’s playmaking instincts will test Goff’s ability to navigate tight windows. Detroit’s other wideouts, particularly Jameson Williams and Kalif Raymond, must find separation against this aggressive secondary to create opportunities.

Lions Defense vs. Saints Offense

Defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn faces a significant challenge in fortifying the Lions’ defense, which has struggled to generate pressure and contain opposing quarterbacks. The Saints’ offense, while dealing with injuries to key receivers like Michael Thomas and Rashid Shaheed, still poses threats with versatile weapons like Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill. Kamara, leading the league in receptions among running backs, is known for his elusive playmaking skills and gaining yards after contact. Hill’s unique skill set, capable of impacting the game in multiple ways, requires strategic focus from Glenn’s defense.

The Lions’ rookie DB Brian Branch may find himself tasked with shadowing Hill, a challenging assignment given Hill’s unpredictability. On the other hand, Kamara’s matchup with rookie linebacker Jack Campbell will be game-defining. Campbell’s tackling ability will be tested against Kamara’s agility and skill in evading defenders. Stepping in for the injured starter and captain Alex Anzalone, Campbell will be wearing the green dot.

Saints QB Derek Carr, known for his quick-release style, could further exploit the Lions’ difficulty in pressuring the quarterback. Defensive linemen like Aidan Hutchinson must disrupt Carr’s timing, and those next to Hutchinson MUST win their one-on-one battles. Josh Paschal, in particular, needs to step up his pass-rush game, a point emphasized by Glenn in recent media sessions.

Special Teams: The Potential Game-Changer

The impact of special teams in this matchup cannot be understated. The Saints’ struggles in the red zone are evident. Coupled with the Lions’ comparable defensive weaknesses in the same area, this suggests that special teams could be decisive. New Orleans’ kicker Blake Grupe’s questionable status due to a groin injury adds uncertainty to their strategy. This may force the Saints to alter their approach in scoring situations.

Detroit Lions punter Jack Fox could play a crucial role. Fox is extremely valuable in dictating field position, a strategy that head coach Dan Campbell might emphasize. With both offenses capable of moving the ball, a smart, field-position-centric game plan could be key to limiting the Saints’ scoring opportunities.

Prediction: Lions 27, Saints 17

I predict the Lions to emerge victorious with a 27-17 win. Their strategy likely involves gaining an early lead and controlling the game’s pace with David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. By maintaining possession and effectively managing the clock, Detroit can dictate the game’s tempo and keep the Saints’ offense off the field. This approach, combined with a focused defensive effort against key Saints playmakers, positions the Lions well for a significant NFC win.

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For more from our Detroit Lions beat writer, Matt Broder, check him out on Twitter here: @mattbro21

Contact: Broder@woodwardsports.com

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Original Photo Credit: ©  Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK